We started this series by picking the best value teams in each conference to win the championship. Now we are going to go conference by conference and pick three win totals we love for this upcoming season. Win totals can be incredibly hard to predict because of all the changes each season. The transfer portal and coaching changes make predicting win totals nearly impossible but Vegas is up for the task. Today we are diving into the ACC and giving our best guess on three win totals. All lines are from FanDuel. As a reminder, I am not a betting expert. Spend your money wisely.
Boston College (5.5 Wins) The Pick: Under – The Jeff Hafley tenure has been a disappointment at Boston College. Hafley is entering his fourth season as the head coach and his seat could not be hotter. Starting quarterback Phil Jurkovec transferred to Pitt and Zay Flowers was drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft. The Eagles won just three games last year. The schedule shows moderate difficulty but Boston College should still be expected to finish with five wins or less. Northern Illinois, Holy Cross and Army should be three wins for Boston College. They will be favored over UConn but watch out for the Huskies this season. The remaining winnable games on the schedule include Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Pitt, Virginia and Virginia Tech. Hafley is on his way out the door so look for Boston College to top out at five wins. Miracles can happen but not in Boston this season.
Duke (6.5 Wins) The Pick: Under- Did you know Duke won nine games last year? Probably not because they flew incredibly under the radar. Mike Elko had a phenomenal first season losing just four games. Their losses came by a combined 16 points. Duke was expected to be near the bottom of the ACC but proved everyone wrong finishing third in their division. Duke’s offense did just enough to win games while relying heavily on the defense. The Blue Devils found success forcing turnovers finishing ninth in the country with 26 turnovers created. The secondary should continue to be strong but a glaring problem remains. The schedule was friendly to them last year but this year it is a gauntlet. Duke will face difficult opponents in Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, Louisville and NC State. Games against Pitt, UConn and Wake Forest are also not going to be easy. Only three games should be viewed as automatic wins which means they need to find four more victories in the schedule and I just do not see it. Duke’s offense is not explosive enough to defeat more talented rosters which will rely too heavily on the defense. Elko is a good coach but this season will be tough for him.
Georgia Tech (4.5 Wins) The Pick: Over – Georgia Tech fired their coach, finished 125th in scoring offense and still won five games last year. Georgia Tech scored just 23 offensive touchdowns over their 12 games season last year. Brent Key was hired as the full time coach after receiving the job on an interim basis. Georgia Tech does not need to make a bowl game to hit the over and they should have an improved roster. Key hit the transfer portal hard bringing in 15 players to help address needs on both sides of the ball. He recruited Haynes King from Texas A&M to take over at quarterback for Jeff Sims who departed for Nebraska. Christian Leary, Dominick Blaylock and Chase Lane were brought in at receiver from Alabama, Georgia and Texas A&M respectively to bring more firepower to the offense. Georgia Tech should get wins over South Carolina State, Bowling Green, Boston College and Virginia meaning they just need one more win to the hit over. Georgia Tech also has games remaining against Syracuse, Miami, Wake Forest and Louisville and they should be able to win at least one. Put your faith in Brent Key this season.