Back after taking Rivalry Week 13 off because of the Thanksgiving Weekend's early start. Week 12 would have been really strong if Purdue didn't nullify their own pick-six with a taunting penalty. Instead it was 3-2, but -0.3 units thanks to the aforementioned non-cover being the best bet. While I'm enthused at the possibility of … Continue reading Conference Championship Weekend Betting Guide
Week 12 Betting Guide
Back after another winning set in Week 11: 4-1, +3.9 units. Not a single one of the games was a sweat. UVA (+5.5 vs Pitt) was the most immediate blowout possible with Brennan Armstrong throwing pick-sixes on their first two plays, but it was a perfect 4-0 thereafter with OU-WVU going 25 points under the … Continue reading Week 12 Betting Guide
Week 11 Betting Guide
A strong Week 10 came just at the right time. Burned by the continuously underachieving Aggies and Mizzou in the early window, it was 3-0 (+4 units) the rest of the day, inching into positive territory on the season. This week feels like the final turn, before the stretch run to close out the regular … Continue reading Week 11 Betting Guide
Week 10 Betting Guide
It was a rough Week 9, 1-4 ATS, at least hitting the best bet for a 2.38 unit net loss. Two close losses were in ACC games with UNC-Pitt going over by a half point, and FSU covering by 2 against Georgia Tech. The third close loss took place out west when Cal +17 lost … Continue reading Week 10 Betting Guide
Week 9 Betting Guide
Week 8 was the nice bounce back going 3-2 for a +1.93 unit net result. Syracuse easily covered at Clemson, as did best bet Louisville in their two touchdown win over Pitt. Several big games this Saturday with multiple undefeated teams playing away from home, we can only hope for chaos similar to Tennessee's instant … Continue reading Week 9 Betting Guide
Week 8 Betting Guide
It was a rough Week 7. I should've advised to wait for confirmation of Tommy Devito being out for Illinois before taking Minnesota as a road favorite. As such, I went a sad 1-4, -4.34 units without any close misses. Penn St was completely steamrolled at Michigan, Wisconsin lost outright at Michigan St, Wazzu got … Continue reading Week 8 Betting Guide
Week 7 Betting Guide
It took three weeks, but we finally had the breakthrough I've been hoping for. 3-1-1 +3.3 units will work every time. Best bet (two units) Texas -9 played out exactly like the mismatch anticipated, and UNC +140 moneyline was ahead wire-to-wire. The lone miss, NC State -3, failed to cover by a point with their … Continue reading Week 7 Betting Guide
Week 6 Betting Guide
Week 5 was the inverse of Week 4 results wise. Instead of getting bailed out by the best bet, we went a solid 3-2 including +125 underdog UCLA, but were weighed down by the best bet Ohio St failing to cover by a half point. Small net win though, unlike Week 4. The aforementioned UCLA … Continue reading Week 6 Betting Guide
Week 5 Betting Guide
It was a slower than hoped start going 2-3 with a best bet (×2 press) win in our first week back last week. Minnesota was a lock from the start and the contrarian MSU takes, eg. Bear on Gameday, backfired immediately. The Purdue total was wrong, but I wouldn't have made it had I been … Continue reading Week 5 Betting Guide
Week 4 Betting Guide
We're back after an extended offseason due to minimal confidence in whether or not teams like Akron and Hawaii could cover +53 spreads. The temperature is finally below 70° and more B1G teams are playing conference games than not. While not writing a column I have been keeping track of all of FBS through 3 … Continue reading Week 4 Betting Guide