Back after a 3-2 Week 4 managed to be a net loss (-0.36) thanks to a complete dud in USC as a heavily juiced best bet. They were closer to an embarrassing outright loss in Tempe than a cover (Oklahoma, FAU, Iowa St winners; SMU ML other loser). Week 5 doesn't have the "Everything Everywhere … Continue reading Week 5 Betting Guide
Week 4 Betting Guide
Week 3, now that's what I'm talking about! 4-1, +4.62 is why we play the game. The only loss was a defeat snatched from the jaws of victory as GaSo was up 14-7 early third getting 19.5 having already weathered 3 first half picks by Davis Brin. But it was not to be as Wisconsin … Continue reading Week 4 Betting Guide
Week 3 Betting Guide
Progress from Week 1 to 2 was more than baby steps, but thanks to a loser in Texas A&M as a best bet (the line had shrunk so far by kickoff thanks to Miami action my optimism was pre-dashed) and Cal's lost 4th quarter lead, it was just 3-2, +0.05 units as a bottom line … Continue reading Week 3 Betting Guide
Week 1 Betting Guide
The detritus that was Week 0 has passed, and now the real work begins. Nice job Hawaii, a backdoor that what was oxymoronically never really in doubt. As for the losers, Pavia and NMSU moved the ball, but turnovers destroyed their chances. As for FIU, they never should have had a chance, but somehow managed … Continue reading Week 1 Betting Guide
Week Zero Betting Guide
Our long national nightmare is over. College football is back. That's the good news. As for the quality of the seven games involving FBS teams, that's a whole nother story. The conventional wisdom when approaching Weeks 0-1 is that it's a good time to take chances on long-shot outcomes because the lines are theoretically the … Continue reading Week Zero Betting Guide
College Football Future Bets: ACC
We started this series by picking the best value teams in each conference to win the championship. Now we are going to go conference by conference and pick three win totals we love for this upcoming season. Win totals can be incredibly hard to predict because of all the changes each season. The transfer portal … Continue reading College Football Future Bets: ACC
College Football Futures Bets We Love: Part 1
Sportsbooks have started releasing futures odds and we are going to go through some of the best value picks and odds we love for this upcoming season. Today we are going to focus on conference champions and who are the best values this season. Just because a team is the betting favorite does not mean … Continue reading College Football Futures Bets We Love: Part 1
Conference Championship Weekend Betting Guide
Back after taking Rivalry Week 13 off because of the Thanksgiving Weekend's early start. Week 12 would have been really strong if Purdue didn't nullify their own pick-six with a taunting penalty. Instead it was 3-2, but -0.3 units thanks to the aforementioned non-cover being the best bet. While I'm enthused at the possibility of … Continue reading Conference Championship Weekend Betting Guide
Week 12 Betting Guide
Back after another winning set in Week 11: 4-1, +3.9 units. Not a single one of the games was a sweat. UVA (+5.5 vs Pitt) was the most immediate blowout possible with Brennan Armstrong throwing pick-sixes on their first two plays, but it was a perfect 4-0 thereafter with OU-WVU going 25 points under the … Continue reading Week 12 Betting Guide
Week 11 Betting Guide
A strong Week 10 came just at the right time. Burned by the continuously underachieving Aggies and Mizzou in the early window, it was 3-0 (+4 units) the rest of the day, inching into positive territory on the season. This week feels like the final turn, before the stretch run to close out the regular … Continue reading Week 11 Betting Guide